Can AI Make Us So Productive That It Destroys the Economy?
Every economy wants higher productivity. When people get a few percent more done each year, the whole economy grows with it. But I think AI could make us…
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Will AI Grow the Pie or Just Hand It to Fewer People?
I think AI makes the economy a bit more productive, but so far it mostly changes who gets the money. The pie grows a little, and a bigger…
Read articleWill Everyone Become an Entrepreneur Soon?
I think we will all be entrepreneurs soon. With AI, an employee can get far more done than before, and the company keeps all of it. If you…
Read articleOpenAI Is Paying Me to Move My Business to Anthropic
Three months ago, OpenAI was my daily driver, using Codex with GPT-5.5 and being productive like never before. Anthropic already had Fable but it wasn't really available through…
Read articleChatGPT Plus and Pro Will Get Ads in 2027
ChatGPT Plus and Pro will get ads, and my guess is that it starts in 2027. OpenAIs own ad principles from January state that "Plus, Pro, Business, and…
Read articleThe Economic Incentives Behind the Push to Pause AI
On September 12, Dario Amodei published an essay called We Must Pace the Frontier, which says the AI industry should slow down how fast it improves its models.…
Read articleWhy I Am Bullish on ChatGPT Ads
I have done SEO for more than twenty years, since Google was the new search engine, and I ran Google Ads campaigns back then too. So I have…
Read articleTIME Is Serving AI Bots a Different Website, With Ads Built In
TIME is now serving two different versions of its website. Humans get the magazine. AI crawlers get a stripped down markdown copy with ads baked in that no…
Read articleSonnet 5 Is Dead in the Water
Ignore the token price for a second and look at the run cost. Theo's total-run screenshot shows Claude Sonnet 5 max at $6,015 for the full Intelligence Index…
Read articleAnthropic Is Hitting a Wall
Anthropic had the developer story every AI lab craved. Claude Code worked. Opus was expensive but worth the splurge. Sonnet was known as the workhorse. For a time,…
Read articleIf Software Gets 90 Percent Cheaper, Who Captures the Savings?
Imagine AI can code at a much higher rate. It’s easy to think development is going to get a lot cheaper. But if writing code is ninety percent…
Read articleAnthropic’s AI Jobs Paper
Anthropic recently published a policy paper about AI, jobs, and what governments should do if AI causes major labor-market disruption. The original paper is here: Anthropic’s economic policy…
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